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Tropical Cyclone Alert : Tropical Depression JulianTROPICAL DEPRESSION “JULIAN” REMAINS ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF BATANES.Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at at 525 km East of Itbayat, Batanes (20.9, 126.9).Strength : Maximum winds of 55 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 70 kph.Forecast movement : Forecast to move Almost Stationary.Forecast position : Sep 27, 2024 08:00 PM - 460 km East of Basco, BatanesSep 28, 2024 08:00 AM - 460 km East of Calayan, CagayanSep 28, 2024 08:00 PM - 390 km East of Aparri, CagayanSep 29, 2024 08:00 AM - 325 km East of Aparri, CagayanSep 29, 2024 08:00 PM - 290 km East of Calayan, CagayanSep 30, 2024 08:00 AM - 275 km East of Calayan, CagayanOct 01, 2024 08:00 AM - 260 km East of Itbayat, BatanesOct 02, 2024 08:00 AM - 360 km North Northeast of Itbayat, BatanesHeavy Rainfall OutlookRefer to Weather Advisory No. 2 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Depression JULIAN.Severe WindsTropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 may be hoisted over portions of Cagayan Valley within the day. Furthermore, the highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of JULIAN is Wind Signal No. 2 or 3.Furthermore, the wind flow coming towards the circulation of Tropical Depression JULIAN may also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):Tomorrow (28 September): Aurora and the northern portion of QuezonSunday (29 September): Aurora, CALABARZON, Romblon, Marinduque, Bicol Region, Aklan, and the northern portion of AntiqueHAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS24-Hour Sea Condition OutlookSea condition may become rough over the following coastal waters:Up to 3.0 m over the seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands and the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan.Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vesselsSea condition may become moderate over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m over the remaining seaboard of Cagayan and seaboard of IsabelaMariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOKJULIAN is forecast to follow a looping path over the waters east of Batanes and Cagayan in the next five days. Initially, the tropical cyclone will head south southwestward or southwestward today and tomorrow (28 September) while decelerating, then move slowly westward to northwestward on Sunday (29 September), before accelerating generally northward from Monday (30 September) onwards.The tropical depression will continuously intensify throughout the forecast period and may reach tropical storm category tonight or tomorrow morning. Furthermore, it may become a typhoon on Sunday.

PAGASA